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قسم الاحصاء والرياضة والتأمين- کلية التجارة - جامعة بنها
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قسم الإحصاء والرياضة والتأمين، كلية التجارة، جامعة بنها
10.21608/cfdj.2025.363663.2189
المستخلص
During the broadcast of COVID-19 (Coronavirus) across the world, many mathematicians made several mathematical models, to understand the forecast and behavior of this epidemic’s spread accurately. Nevertheless, due to the lack of much information about it, the application of many models has become difficult and sometimes impossible, unlike the simple SIR model. In this study we proposed a new SIRD model for COVID-19. SIRD model is fitted to real data of COVID-19 patients in Egypt using R program, the sample consists of all patients in the susceptible state, infectious state, removed state, and the death state. The purpose of this study is to give a prediction of the epidemic peak and sizes in our country. The results of this study are an indicator for the widespread of COVID-19 in Egypt.
Soliman, Elham Salah, Mahdy Ramadan, Mervat, & Goda Khalil, Mohamed. (2025). A New Proposed Model for Covid-19. المجلة العلمية للدراسات والبحوث المالية والتجارية, 6(2), 115-134. doi: 10.21608/cfdj.2025.363663.2189
MLA
Elham Salah Soliman; Mervat Mahdy Ramadan; Mohamed Goda Khalil. "A New Proposed Model for Covid-19", المجلة العلمية للدراسات والبحوث المالية والتجارية, 6, 2, 2025, 115-134. doi: 10.21608/cfdj.2025.363663.2189
HARVARD
Soliman, Elham Salah, Mahdy Ramadan, Mervat, Goda Khalil, Mohamed. (2025). 'A New Proposed Model for Covid-19', المجلة العلمية للدراسات والبحوث المالية والتجارية, 6(2), pp. 115-134. doi: 10.21608/cfdj.2025.363663.2189
VANCOUVER
Soliman, Elham Salah, Mahdy Ramadan, Mervat, Goda Khalil, Mohamed. A New Proposed Model for Covid-19. المجلة العلمية للدراسات والبحوث المالية والتجارية, 2025; 6(2): 115-134. doi: 10.21608/cfdj.2025.363663.2189
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