The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Trade Openness in The Arab Republic of Egypt: Standard Study

نوع المستند : المقالة الأصلية

المؤلف

Faculty of Commerce - Mansoura University

المستخلص

This paper attempts to measure the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on trade openness in the Arab Republic of Egypt with the introduction of both the final government spending, the final household spending, and the general consumer price index as independent variables controlled using annual and monthly time series data during the period 2015-2021 as an extended period showing the comparative impact between before and during the pandemic using the distributed time-gap self-reference method (ARDL) developed by Pesaran et al (2001) to test the long-term relationship between the variables and the dynamic relationship in the short term through the application of multiple regression model (Multiple Regression Model).
The results showed that there is an inverse relationship in the long and short term between the number of Covid-19 infections, public government spending, final household spending on one side, and trade openness on the other. Also, there is a strong proportional relationship between the record for prices consumed and trade openness in the short and long term.

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